Updated 2025/01/30 16:24

Overview

The US RSV Forecast Hub is as a collaborative forecasting effort to produce weekly short-term forecasts of weekly laboratory-confirmed RSV hospital admissions for the US and individual states. Each week, participants are asked to provide national- and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic forecasts of the weekly number of confirmed RSV hospitalizations for the following four weeks. The US RSV Forecast Hub is open to any team willing to provide projections at the right temporal and spatial scales. We only require that participating teams share point estimates and uncertainty bounds, along with a short model description and answers to a list of key questions about design.

Those interested in participating, please see the README file in the Github repository.

If you are interested in longer-term scenario projections of RSV in the US, please take a look at the US RSV Scenario Modeling Hub.


National Forecast

RSV hospital admission forecast for the United States (national-level) for all age groups (0-130yr), weekly incident admissions:

Note: The dashed red line represents the peak of national RSV hospitalizations during the 2023-24 season.



State- and Age-Specific Forecasts

By State

State-level forecasts